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Cash Flow

Money actually moving in and out, which can look very different from profit.

Also known as: cash flow, cash flow statement, cash management

Cash flow tracks money actually moving: in from customers, loans and investors; out to payroll, vendors, taxes and lenders. It diverges from profit constantly — profitable on paper while cash-starved (receivables!), or cash-rich while loss-making (annual prepayments!). Companies die of empty bank accounts, never of ugly P&Ls.

profitable but dying:  $50k profit, customers pay in 90 days, payroll weekly → cash gap kills
unprofitable but alive: $30k loss, annual prepayments banked → cash funds the turnaround

Manage it weekly once tight: 13-week rolling cash forecast (receipts expected, payrolls, tax dates, big vendor bills), updated with actuals. The forecast turns surprises into scheduled problems — a shortfall seen eight weeks out has options; discovered Friday has none.

The classic mistakes:

  • Profit-confidence. “We’re profitable, we’re fine” with receivables aging and payables due. Profit is opinion (accrual choices); cash is fact. Watch the fact.
  • Lumpy-revenue blindness. Enterprise deals landing quarterly against monthly payroll creates predictable crunches. Map receipt timing explicitly; bridge planned gaps before they arrive.
  • Tax and THR surprises. Periodic obligations (taxes, THR, annual renewals) ambush cash planning yearly. Calendar every known outflow twelve months out.
  • Growth eating cash. Faster growth often worsens cash (receivables, inventory, hiring ahead). Profitable growth can still kill — plan working-capital needs alongside P&L targets.
  • No scenario buffer. Single-point forecasts Shatter on contact with reality. Maintain base/downside cash paths with trigger actions defined (scenario analysis).

The rule: profit is opinion, cash is fact, runway is the verdict. Review cash weekly, forecast thirteen weeks rolling, and never let the bank balance surprise you — see runway and burn for the metrics built on it.